Like you mentioned rookie QBs are more NFL ready these days than they were back in the earlier years but the bust rate is still very high with them. The odds on landing a franchise QB in the top 10 are still no better than 50-50. Teams continue to struggle trying to determine if a college QBs game will translate to the NFL. This is why we see so many mistakes in the draft at QB. Houston tried trading up for Bryce Young and couldn’t do it. They settled for CJ Stroud and struck gold. While Carolina appears to have swung and missed with Bryce Young. As for the Packers they have a formula that’s been working for them.
They struggled at QB for years after Bart Starr retired until Brett Favre came along. They drafted Aaron Rodgers and had him sit for a while. They got extremely lucky with him. They did the same thing with Jordan Love. As for Caleb Williams, he’s the third first round pick the Bears have used on a QB since 2017 and the second top five pick. Go count up all the busts the Bears have had at QB over the years. I would have to go deep into their history, but I don’t believe they’ve ever had a great QB. They had one of the greatest teams of all time in 1985 that was led by an average QB because they had such a great defense.
The Cowboys will be taking one of the biggest risks in franchise history if they can’t come to terms with Dak before he becomes a free agent. You can mark my words, it’s going to take a while and possibly a number of years to come up with a “better” QB than Dak. If there was any part of me that thought he was the reason we can’t get over the hump in postseason, I would be done with him in a heartbeat. I don’t see any QB having success in postseason with the problems we continue to see every year, especially defensively. You can’t just keep putting it entirely on the QB.