It's also a gamble if he is offered a great contract this year and doesn't sign. What if he has a terrible year? We have Philly twice, SF, Detroit, Cincy, Cleveland, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Houston, etc on the schedule this year. It may be hard to pump up those stats when they don't have as many cream puffs on the schedule this year. He may go from looking like a $55 million a year QB in the eyes of teams to a $45 million a year QB. I think the potential downside is far greater than the upside. Plus there is always a chance of an injury happening.