I've seen some speculation that he's simply leveraging to get more guaranteed money from the Vikings. If that's actually true, I'd pull out of this whole deal and let him rot there. I have no interest in being used just to get him more guaranteed money. But at this point, I don't believe that to be true.
well, if you get right down to it, 99% of this *is* speculation for either side. you can't say the year off helps, they can't say it hurts. we simply don't know so every vague argument "the other side gives" is met with yet another argument that is pretty much just as vague. you don't believe it to be true, they do. who knows for sure?
I see where folks have concerns regarding money and draft picks. But what I take issue with is the grey area the other side seems to hide in. I've stated that I wouldn't give up a 1st rounder, the folks against just say 'high draft picks'. I've stated that I would be OK with a 3 year deal for $25 million. Others just say "I'm not paying big money".
I can state that, despite my being on the 'pro' side, I do have my limits and wouldn't want to see the team overpay in either picks or money.
i don't think anyone wants BIG MONEY but defining BIG MONEY is now the issue and a whole nother topic.
What I would like to see is more of the 'con' side make the effort to clearly define their positions rather than dealing in vague terms.
I see the worries about the number '30', but I would hope people factor in the year off from wear and tear as well.
I see the 'injury' worry, but I hope people factor in his amazing recovery ability and exceptional genetics.
If I'm totaling up the plusses and minuses, I see a lot more plusses than minuses. As long as the draft and financial compensations aren't out of hand.
except those plusses are in many places just as speculative as the minuses. you base if off petersons history, they base if off the % of him ever being who they saw now well over a year ago. you see the year off as a plus and i would say that's because you are "pro-peterson" not because it actually is. calling it a minus is likely "anti-peterson" and because they don't want him.
i would have liked to have seen just negatives w/o BUT WAIT in this, but that's a lot to ask, i know. (being serious, not condescending so please don't take it that way) as you've been one of the more vocal people on the wagon. it really sounds like nothing really scares you about peterson except contract stuff and the cost to get him here. i'd agree on both counts that it simply won't be worth much because 2-3 years is at best the most you can look forward to. even then, to me, there's a lot to prove just to beat the odds on NOT falling into the much greater math percentage of his best years are in fact behind him.
the plusses i see (w/o having to tag on a negative)
he is a vet RB and we could use that right now because i also agree we have a window here to get this done.
his history does show productivity despite the odds on his injury recovery.
even if he's not the peterson of 4 years ago, he can still get the job done i feel and given the line he would have, it would only help him, help us.
the minuses:
most RB's do decline after 30. if you expect peterson of old, you'll be disappointed. if you just expect a solid RB to be a part of a team, i can see the fit better.
cost. given the $$$ he has guaranteed if $ is a factor, he won't leave. he'll take the money and go to work every day. if he's in it for the $ on one hand, i don't blame him, on the other, get it where you are now.
taking a developing players spot. not huge to me because if they're developing they can't help us make a run NOW. if things were different then this logic would hold more water. but we're not building, we're trying to win now and that's a different game.
health concerns will linger until he proves otherwise, making all this a huge gamble, bringing this back to cost.
given all you put above, cost is our common "let's not go crazy" and for the rest, i think we see the same things just differently. in the end, i did what i asked you to do and there are more plusses to having him come to the cowboys than negatives with cost, and health concerns leading the pack, but potential definitely something to consider.