burmafrd;5023421 said:
Better but still not great ones. You must get hits on at least your top 3; or if not a real steal in the later rounds. If you do not come out of each draft with three guys that will start for you that draft is a failure.
No, I would say 3 guys is actually a good draft.
2 starters is probably an average draft.
1 starter is below average.
0 starters is a disaster.
I think that is the results of a study someone posted here a few years ago on the chances of finding a consistent starter in the draft. I think you have a 50% chance of finding a single starter in rounds 4-7, for example.
People here underestimate how difficult it is to hit on a draft pick.
The 2012 draft's success depends a great deal on whether Mo becomes an All-Pro, Crawford becomes a starter and whether Wilber, Coale, Hanna or Johnson can become contributors. I think this past draft will end up being better than most people realize should they remain healthy. It already looks like Hanna is going to become a contributor and I think Crawford will be a late bloomer who will do better now in the 4-3.