Opinion: If we don't win out-we aren't getting in

[ActualCowboysFan]

It's about 80 percent that we get in if we finish 11-5 -- ~31 percent chance of winning the division, or ~58 percent chance of getting a wild card.

http://www.playoffstatus.com/nfl/cowboyswhatif.html

The division percentage obviously increases if our loss is to the Colts.

Nuh uhh. I've read on here all night that there is no chance. Every other team will definitely win every game and the Cowboys will definitely lose most of theirs. And I have a question for you. Did your fancy calculator account for the troll game predictions that are 100% accurate and all over the board tonight? Because if not it is simply invalid. Prove me wrong.

Oh this is sarcasm btw.

 

[Dale]

There's obviously a strong possibility that 11-5 won't get us in, but you just never know. I'm more concerned about us winning our games than I am hoping that other teams drop theirs to help us out.

One thing we know is that 12-4 gets us in. I'm hopeful for that.

 

[mldardy]

Go ahead and prove me wrong...

Find a scenario where dallas wins 11 games and none of the 4 teams I listed win less than 11 and dallas gets in...

Prove me wrong..go for it

Wow someone doesn't have it altogether.

 

[JBS]

Wow someone doesn't have it altogether.

You got nothing...thanks for playing

 

[percyhoward]

It's 80 percent that we get in if we finish 11-5.

It's 95 percent for the Eagles at 11-5.
It's 97 percent for the Packers at 11-5.
It's 99 percent for the Seahawks at 11-5.
It's greater than 99 percent for the Lions at 11-5.
It's 100 percent for the Cardinals at 11-5.

 

[mldardy]

You got nothing...thanks for playing

Already answered your question. You just didn't want to hear it.

 

[Tabascocat]

It's 80 percent that we get in if we finish 11-5.

It's 95 percent for the Eagles at 11-5.
It's 97 percent for the Packers at 11-5.
It's 99 percent for the Seahawks at 11-5.
It's greater than 99 percent for the Lions at 11-5.
It's 100 percent for the Cardinals at 11-5.

Might as well bump ours up to 93% then

 

[mldardy]

Win out, win the East, get the 3rd seed.

Or 2nd seed.

 

[TrailBlazer]

It's 80 percent that we get in if we finish 11-5.

It's 95 percent for the Eagles at 11-5.
It's 97 percent for the Packers at 11-5.
It's 99 percent for the Seahawks at 11-5.
It's greater than 99 percent for the Lions at 11-5.
It's 100 percent for the Cardinals at 11-5.

So in conclusion, 11-5 most likely will not do it?

 

[SportsGuru80]

We need to go 4-0 for momentum purposes.... You want to be playing your best football in December/Jan anyways!

 

[punchnjudy]

It's 80 percent that we get in if we finish 11-5.

It's 95 percent for the Eagles at 11-5.
It's 97 percent for the Packers at 11-5.
It's 99 percent for the Seahawks at 11-5.
It's greater than 99 percent for the Lions at 11-5.
It's 100 percent for the Cardinals at 11-5.

And the 4 win Panthers have a 78% chance if they beat TB, Cle, and Atl. That's just wrong...

 

[Tabascocat]

And the 4 win Panthers have a 78% chance if they beat TB, Cle, and Atl. That's just wrong...

Only for the division, not a WC.

 

[percyhoward]

So in conclusion, 11-5 most likely will not do it?

We'd need Arizona to lose out, or GB to lose 3 of 4, or Detroit, Philly, or Seattle to lose two

or

Seattle to be the only other team to finish 11-5.

 

[punchnjudy]

We'd need Arizona to lose out, or GB to lose 3 of 4, or Detroit or Philly to lose two

or

Seattle to be the only other team to finish 11-5.

I could see Detroit choking against Minn or Chicago.

Hopefully that last game against GB would still mean something to the Packers.

 

[Tabascocat]

I could see Detroit choking against Minn or Chicago.

Hopefully that last game against GB would still mean something to the Packers.

It 100% will, some team will be with them for the top seed. At the very least, Dallas or Philly will be because of the number of wins that will be needed to get there.

 

[lukin1966]

We heard all year how this teams different. Now they can prove it ... win out they win the division.

 

[DoomsDayD]

Not really as they will not win another game this year.

and what makes you say that?? It's is funny that people say every week oh they are going to lose and yet you look up and there they are.

 

[DoomsDayD]

So in conclusion, 11-5 most likely will not do it?

If we dont beat the eagles next week then things are bleak!!!!

 

[punchnjudy]

A few thoughts:

If Dallas can just pull out this next game there's a good chance Philly will really be embroiled in a qb controversy toward the end of the season assuming Foles is healthy enough to play. Also, if Dallas can contain their offense, there will be even more bad tape out there of Sanchez/Philly for other teams to emulate. It's not a given that they finish out as expected. New York isn't going to tank a division game.

Indy should beat Houston this weekend to clinch their division. If that happens, it gives Dallas a slight edge as a letdown game from Indy wouldn't be shocking but obviously they're not going to tank it either.

 

[Beast_from_East]

The bottom line is that if we lose to Philly next week..............we will no longer control our destiny for any playoff spot, be it division or wildcard.............we will have to rely on other teams losing to get a playoff spot.


I think that is the point the OP was trying to make.