THUMPER;1449819 said:
And yet, he consistently gets open, makes the catch, and runs away from people. How do you explain it? To give the excuse that he did it against lesser competition is not accurate as he had some of his best games in Bowl games or against top competition: Texas, Michigan, Notre Dame, Cal, etc.
Regardless of how he came across in tests, he has consistently produced in games. I'll take that every time over workout warriors who can't come up big when it counts.
I don't think he "gets open" and "runs away from people" quite so much. He uses his long arms and body to create separation, which is great. I'd prefer a receiver that can do that over a pure speed receiver any day, particularly when you have a QB like Leinart who can place the ball very well. I've said it before, but I think the Keyshawn comparison is perfect, and if he could guarantee Keyshawn's production for the next 10 years I'd draft him at 22 in a heart beat.
But we're not looking at him in a vacuum. When compared to Bowe and Meachem, I'd simply prefer their combination of size and speed. You can talk about college production, but I only consider the last 2 years of a player's college career. Too many variables are at play for the prior years to be meaningful. So, considering only the last 2 years of production, he's not
that much more productive than some of the other receivers in the draft.
I don't think the "underwear olympics" are more important than "college production" or vice versa. College production is very important, but then again, there are guys that can be productive in college, but aren't quite fit for the NFL. Peter Warrick comes to mind. On the opposite side, there are guys that aren't very productive in college, that simply have the physical makeup to compete at a high level in the NFL. Pat McQuistan is a good example. He only had a single season starting, and only one year beyond that suiting up. Yet, he's being considered as a potential starting LT in the league, because he has the physical makeup.
So, in the end, I try to use a formula that weighs each variable (production and phystical attributes) such that the variance on each is about equal. And when I do so, Jarrett simply ranks lower.