rxdoc
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Boy I read that same quote from Mike and can take a SLIGHTLY different meaning out of it. First let’s state that analytics is a tool to help formulate a decision. It is not the tell all. Analytics does not and in no way can take in account the quality of the players (offensive or defensive) and the execution of the plays. Example, teams in the early nineties did not need analytics but if used it would tell them that Dallas was going to run the ball right down your throats. They knew it and couldn’t do anything about because the Cowboys players was so much better then the other teams and the execution of the plays was formidable. Again it’s a tool used to help give an edge where possible.
But let’s get back to Mike’s quote and the article mentioned. Yes he stated that you have to run the ball to have play action work effectively and the numbers show there wasn’t much difference if the team rushed ten times or upwards of twenty. Mike stated you had to run the ball, he never stated how many times but just that you had to try. So I am going to assume that you assume he is referring to a large amount.
Now let’s get to the second part of his quote that I think you are trying to call him out on. He stated that “when you are able to run the ball effectively, there is an opportunity to get more chunk plays”. The article was referencing passer rating on whether there were a few attempts or many, it never touched on large gaining plays. With that said my interpretation was that Mike believes that when the run game is effective, there is a much better chance for a big gain play.
Without being able to question him and dig into his theory more, it’s not fair to label him a fraud.
Last note: If you research my posts going back several months to a year, you will find several that state I have a upper managerial position in one of the largest analytical firms in the country.
just saying!
^^^ this 1000x
thank you... was going to post something similar but you said it so much better that I could.
simply put analytics is a tool to aid in decision making. You can’t go to either extreme when using them. It’s refreshing to know that MM understands there is a place for them and is willing to use them as necessary compared to JG who wanted absolutely nothing to do with them.
I seriously cannot believe we are arguing over this before MM has even coached his first game for the Cowboys...
I suggest tabling this topic and revisit this discussion at the end of next season when we have actual game data to discuss. Anything at this point is pure speculation.....