So basically what you are saying is that after 11 games in 2009 and 16 games in 2008 you can see a trend that Detroit sucks. And that after 11 games you can see the same thing in the opposite for the Colts.Bach;3114490 said:You act like all teams just start from scratch each year and it's just a blind crapshoot. Yep, I'm just stunned the Colts are leading their division again while the Lions are once again one of the worst teams in the league. Whodathunk?
And yeah, some teams can make strides from year to year while others may decline, but overall, there are certain trends, whether or not you're wise enough to notice.
Aikbach;3114576 said:In the words of the great back up running back Lincoln Coleman during Super Bowl XXVIII and as recorded for eternity by NFL Films "Nothing's changed but the dates on the calendar, nothin's changed but the dates on the calendar, baby...(something unintelligible)."
Hostile;3114566 said:So basically what you are saying is that after 11 games in 2009 and 16 games in 2008 you can see a trend that Detroit sucks. And that after 11 games you can see the same thing in the opposite for the Colts.
It takes some serious stones to say it is wisdom that leads you to these suppositions after 11 games of evidence. That's roughly the equivalent of warning the US about Pearl Harbor being attacked 11 weeks after the attacks. Impressive.
Hoo boy, am I ever glad you shared these nuggets with us. I mean heaven knows none of us could look at a standings and see the Colts atop the AFC South undefeated and think they are good. Or see the Lions at the bottom of the NFC North and recognize they are bad.
Yeah, I can see how after 11 games this trend recognition stuff is infallible and impressive to a simple mind.
It's a damned shame it isn't worth a flush beyond that though.
I to your omniscience after 11 games. You truly are a marvel.Bach;3115034 said:And based on last year I'm sure you are just stunned that the Colts are atop their division and the Lions are at the bottom of theirs, right? I mean, no one could see this coming, could they?
Actually I sure thousands predicted just this, and to no one's surprise. Why? Because they based it on past trends.
Hostile;3115040 said:I to your omniscience after 11 games. You truly are a marvel.
Oh no, I am not surprised at all. But I wasn't the one touting trends that are visible after 11 games.Bach;3115063 said::laugh2:
I'm sure you're probably surprised that a team like the Lions are *gasp* in last place now. But I doubt most of the knowledgeable NFL fanbase is.
Hostile;3115072 said:Oh no, I am not surprised at all. But I wasn't the one touting trends that are visible after 11 games.
I mean, no **** Sherlock? If you don't realize how utterly silly that crap was, I am sorry.
Before a season I don't expect anything. I can make a pretty good educated guess about some teams. You touted a foreseeable trend. It was silly given the fact the trend you could see already had 11 games of 2009 evidence for you. Pure silly.Bach;3115077 said:It's not about just being visible after 11 games **** Sherlock. And if you aren't surprised, then I take it you must've expected these results? Right? How could that be? Maybe based on past results?
I'm sure Vegas must be losing their shirts every single week, because they base their point spreads on *GASP* past trends. Those poor suckers, they must be about bankrupt by now. C'mon Hos, be a pal and tell those guys that trends don't exist. :laugh2:
Hostile;3115108 said:Before a season I don't expect anything. I can make a pretty good educated guess about some teams. You touted a foreseeable trend. It was silly given the fact the trend you could see already had 11 games of 2009 evidence for you. Pure silly.
Trends after 11 games? Guinness Breweries called, they want their "Brilliant" motto back.
I personally look at their upcoming schedule, who retired, who they lost in Free Agency, who they gained, who they drafted and if they fit their needs, how much cap room they have left, are they getting any key players back from injury, whether any of their recent draft picks came on at previous year's end, whether or not they have a new Head Coach and if he has previous experience of turning a franchise around, whether any of these things might affect their division rivals and give them a hidden advantage not all could see, and a lot of things unrelated to the previous year's won loss record.Bach;3115130 said:Pretty good educated guess? How do you do that, Hos? In order to do that wouldn't you have to look back to the previous season?
That's called looking at past trends. That's all I've been saying.
And why are you so caught up on 'trends after 11 games'? We just happen to be at that point now. It's not about waiting til after 11 games to tout a trend. I'm saying these teams have done what most expected since the beginning of the season based on "their educated guess' which was based on past trends.
It's really not that complicated, at least not for most of us who aren't trying desperately to win some internet argument.
Bach;3113563 said:This is one of the dumbest things I've ever read on here, congratulations.
Do you really think anyone on here wants us to lose any games? Really? Let alone want us to go 1-4 to end the year?
Bach;3115077 said:It's not about just being visible after 11 games **** Sherlock. And if you aren't surprised, then I take it you must've expected these results? Right? How could that be? Maybe based on past results?
I'm sure Vegas must be losing their shirts every single week, because they base their point spreads on *GASP* past trends. Those poor suckers, they must be about bankrupt by now. C'mon Hos, be a pal and tell those guys that trends don't exist. :laugh2:
Dude, you are bucking a trend. What does Vegas possibly know?sonnyboy;3115201 said:They have us as a 2 point fav or the Giants. Guess they failed to notice it's Dec.
Your we will most likely fail this Dec because of recent past Dec failings is crtically flawed.
With a name like Galbreath its no wonder anyone wasn't listening.Don Corleone;3114602 said:That was Scott Galbreath, not Lincoln Coleman.
All Lincoln said was, "This ain't Houston!"
Bach;3115130 said:Pretty good educated guess? How do you do that, Hos? In order to do that wouldn't you have to look back to the previous season?
That's called looking at past trends. That's all I've been saying.
And why are you so caught up on 'trends after 11 games'? We just happen to be at that point now. It's not about waiting til after 11 games to tout a trend. I'm saying these teams have done what most expected since the beginning of the season based on "their educated guess' which was based on past trends.
It's really not that complicated, at least not for most of us who aren't trying desperately to win some internet argument.
Hostile;3115159 said:I personally look at their upcoming schedule, who retired, who they lost in Free Agency, who they gained, who they drafted and if they fit their needs, how much cap room they have left, are they getting any key players back from injury, whether any of their recent draft picks came on at previous year's end, whether or not they have a new Head Coach and if he has previous experience of turning a franchise around, whether any of these things might affect their division rivals and give them a hidden advantage not all could see, and a lot of things unrelated to the previous year's won loss record.
You look at a previous year and 11 games of the current year and say, "I sense a trend."
You go buddy.
In a parity driven NFL I have discovered that last year may not mean very much at all. I have seen the Rams go from cellar dwellers to the greatest show on turf. I've seen the Titans go from 14-2 to losers of 6 straight to start the very next season. I've seen the Saints go from Mendoza line to undefeated after 11 games. And many other instances of teams going both directions after previous years.
What I have never done is thump my chest and say "there's a trend if you just pay attention," and have that "trend" already have 11 games of evidence to claim as support for the hypothesis.
Are the Raiders going to suck next year? Odds are in their favor that they will. Is it a written in stone guarantee? If you think it is, you haven't been paying attention to very much beyond 2008.
Brilliant!