I, somehow, ended up watching a couple body language experts talk about this incident on YouTube. Across the board, they all agree it wasn't staged.
I suppose I will link 2 for anybody that cares.
They are both in on the conspiracy. The only question is who is paying them the most? Smith? Rock? Or the Academy?
Seriously though, I believe the Spidey gentleman's observation of Pickett-Smith initial body language is correct. She, like the rest of the audience, were laughing at Rock's jokes. Then Rock told the G.I. Jane joke and it told a moment for the joke to register for her.
That reaction is true for most people. Good comedians will have anyone laughing at everything coming out of their mouths. Most people laugh at targeted jokes. Even targeted folks may laugh at first, think about what was said, run the joke back through their heads, and have a second reaction that is opposite their first.
Spidey's take on her reactions is true in my opinion. I did not watch much of the video but I would assume he further talks about how PIckett-Smith's reaction influenced Smith's stupidity--since it was not solely the joke that itself that provoked him but was the look on her face.
Anywho, BAFTA's weighing in on the incident:
BAFTA Says Will Smith Would Have Been “Removed From Ceremony” After Slap
By Alex Ritman
MARCH 30, 2022 3:35AM
<snip>
Speaking to The Hollywood Reporter the morning that the BAFTA TV Award nominations were unveiled, BAFTA execs offered their thoughts on the infamous incident that took place at Sunday night’s Oscars ceremony, when Smith slapped Chris Rock on stage.
“They would be removed from the ceremony,” said Sara Putt, chair of BAFTA’s television committee and deputy chair of BAFTA, when asked what BAFTA would do if put in a similar situation. Putt noted that there would no opportunity for the individual in question to later collect any award or give a speech, as Smith had controversially been allowed to do at the Dolby Theater. “They would not be in the buildings, so they would not physically be able to collect their award,” she said.
<snip>
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For me, BAFTA's hindsight would have been interesting to observe if a (crazy) similar instance had happened several weeks ago when they honored Smith as Best Actor for
King Richard.