Phrozen Phil;1459648 said:
Typical lead up to the draft. Let's re-invent an old story and attempt to breathe life into it. If the Cowboys got an obscene offer for Jones, they'd probably take it. Are thay planning to trade him? Not likely. They got decent production from their two-back systen last year and there's no reason to think that it won't continue.
What do you consider to be an obscene offer?
As a side note if the Cowboys truly are shopping Julius Jones it is very interesting. In that regard, you would expect that they would replace Jones with someone they thought was either:
1. About as good as Julius, but they felt that they could snag him in a lower round than the pick that they acquired for Jones.
I don't see this as likely unless they think Jones is a really weak back, and it doesn't make sense that they would risk not having a starting quality back on a playoff team.
2. They see MBIII as being a quality starter and they can pick up a complimentary back in the later rounds of the draft, or free agency. I don't see this as likely either since it makes your running back position a bit of a guess on a playoff team.
3. The most likely reason they would be shopping Jones would be that they think that they can find a back superior to Jones, or MBIII in the draft or in free agency. I would think that this scenario is a lot more likely in that this team is primed for a playoff run. I think this means that they either:
A. Trade up and get Peterson.
B. Get Lynch in round #1 in a trade up
C. Trade for Michael Turner
d. The Cowboys scouting department feels that there will be someone else available at #22 other than Peterson, or Lynch that has a first round grade.
I would submit that the cost of trading up and getting Peterson is very prohibitive (unless he falls lower than expected), but trading Julius Jones would alleviate that to some degree.
Trading up to get Lynch is probably "doable" at a reasonable cost, but unless you think he is a lot better than Jones, why do it at all. This makes the most "practical" sense from a "cost" standpoint, but it sure would be a lot of maneuvering for a slight improvement over Jones. Then again, maybe the Cowboys are "sure" he will fall to them at #22. Or, maybe the Cowboys scouting department thinks he is the real deal.
While trading for Turner is not a bad idea, the cost seems very prohibitive, for now. Moreover, unless another team thinks that Jones is a better back than Turner, why would they trade for Jones, instead of Turner.
The best situation would be for Ireland and company to have unearthed a gem running back that isn't really on anyone else's radar, but trading Jones off before draft day would be quite a gamble.
If Jones is traded BEFORE draft day, I think the target is Peterson, with Lynch being option B, if they can't trade up and get Peterson.